PITCHER MATCHUP

Emerson Hancock vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emerson Hancock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emerson Hancock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 28%Sweeper 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%Slider 4%Curveball 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emerson Hancock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 599 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .222 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EA Edwin Arroyo SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edwin Arroyo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.