PITCHER MATCHUP

Emerson Hancock vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emerson Hancock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emerson Hancock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Sinker 31%Changeup 13%Sweeper 11%Cutter 7%Slider 6%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emerson Hancock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 IK Isiah Kiner-Falefa RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isiah Kiner-Falefa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (31% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →