PITCHER MATCHUP

Emerson Hancock vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emerson Hancock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emerson Hancock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sinker 29%Sweeper 12%Changeup 12%Cutter 7%Slider 5%Curveball 2%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emerson Hancock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 598 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.