PITCHER MATCHUP

Emerson Hancock vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emerson Hancock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emerson Hancock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 28%Sweeper 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%Slider 4%Curveball 2%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emerson Hancock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.