PITCHER MATCHUP

Emerson Hancock vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emerson Hancock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emerson Hancock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .358vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sinker 29%Changeup 12%Sweeper 12%Cutter 7%Slider 5%Curveball 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emerson Hancock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NF Nick Fortes RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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