PITCHER MATCHUP

Emerson Hancock vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emerson Hancock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emerson Hancock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .362vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sinker 30%Changeup 13%Sweeper 12%Cutter 7%Slider 5%Curveball 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emerson Hancock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-05 game page →