PITCHER MATCHUP

Emerson Hancock vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emerson Hancock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emerson Hancock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 28%Sweeper 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%Slider 4%Curveball 2%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emerson Hancock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GS George Springer RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.