PITCHER MATCHUP

Emerson Hancock vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emerson Hancock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emerson Hancock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 28%Sweeper 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%Slider 4%Curveball 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emerson Hancock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .396
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .428 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.