PITCHER MATCHUP

Emerson Hancock vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Emerson Hancock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Emerson Hancock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .348vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 28%Changeup 11%Sweeper 11%Cutter 8%Slider 5%Curveball 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Emerson Hancock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .403
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .435 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.