PITCHER MATCHUP

Elmer Rodríguez vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Elmer Rodríguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Elmer Rodríguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .410vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026
Sinker 46%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 15%Changeup 8%Slider 7%Sweeper 5%Cutter 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Elmer Rodríguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SS Spencer Steer RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DM Dane Myers RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.