PITCHER MATCHUP

Elmer Rodríguez vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Elmer Rodríguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Elmer Rodríguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .410vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026
Sinker 46%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 15%Changeup 8%Slider 7%Sweeper 5%Cutter 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Elmer Rodríguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.