PITCHER MATCHUP

Elmer Rodríguez vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Elmer Rodríguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Elmer Rodríguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .417vs RHH xwOBA .340Seasons 2026
Sinker 42%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Slider 14%Changeup 11%Curveball 11%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Elmer Rodríguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Matt McLain RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JB JJ Bleday LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Blake Dunn RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blake Dunn
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-21 game page →