PITCHER MATCHUP

Elmer Rodríguez vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Elmer Rodríguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Elmer Rodríguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .394vs RHH xwOBA .344Seasons 2026
Sinker 41%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Slider 11%Curveball 10%Changeup 10%Sweeper 5%Cutter 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Elmer Rodríguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.