PITCHER MATCHUP

Elmer Rodríguez vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Elmer Rodríguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Elmer Rodríguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .410vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026
Sinker 46%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 15%Changeup 8%Slider 7%Sweeper 5%Cutter 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Elmer Rodríguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Christian Encarnacion-Strand RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Encarnacion-Strand
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-27 game page →