PITCHER MATCHUP

Elmer Rodríguez vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Elmer Rodríguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Elmer Rodríguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .394vs RHH xwOBA .344Seasons 2026
Sinker 41%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Slider 11%Curveball 10%Changeup 10%Sweeper 5%Cutter 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Elmer Rodríguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .397
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.