PITCHER MATCHUP

Elmer Rodríguez vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Elmer Rodríguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Elmer Rodríguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .410vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026
Sinker 46%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 15%Changeup 8%Slider 7%Sweeper 5%Cutter 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Elmer Rodríguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .389
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .223 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.