PITCHER MATCHUP

Edward Cabrera vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Edward Cabrera's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Edward Cabrera's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 29%Curveball 21%Sinker 19%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Slider 14%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Edward Cabrera, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MS Marcus Semien RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CB Carson Benge LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Juan Soto LHB .384
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .456 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Mark Vientos RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →