PITCHER MATCHUP
Edward Cabrera vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Edward Cabrera's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Edward Cabrera's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 28%Curveball 21%Sinker 20%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Slider 14%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Edward Cabrera, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .323
-
1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 CB Carson Benge LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 BB Brett Baty LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 JS Juan Soto LHB .380
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .445 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
9 MV Mark Vientos RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.