PITCHER MATCHUP

Edward Cabrera vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Edward Cabrera's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Edward Cabrera's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 28%Curveball 22%Sinker 20%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Slider 14%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Edward Cabrera, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 557 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.