PITCHER MATCHUP
Eduardo Rodriguez vs Cincinnati Reds
How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Eduardo Rodriguez's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Cutter 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 8%Slider 2%
How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .312
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1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DM Dane Myers RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.