PITCHER MATCHUP
Eduardo Rodriguez vs Pittsburgh Pirates
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Eduardo Rodriguez's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Cutter 14%Sinker 9%Curveball 8%Slider 2%
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .308
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1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 JM Jake Mangum SH .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 HD Henry Davis RHB .278
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.