PITCHER MATCHUP

Eduardo Rodriguez vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eduardo Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Cutter 14%Sinker 9%Curveball 8%Slider 2%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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