PITCHER MATCHUP
Eduardo Rodriguez vs San Diego Padres
How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Eduardo Rodriguez's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Cutter 15%Curveball 9%Sinker 8%Slider 2%
How the San Diego Padres's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
-
1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 MM Manny Machado RHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 LC Luis Campusano RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.