PITCHER MATCHUP

Eduardo Rodriguez vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eduardo Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Cutter 15%Curveball 8%Sinker 8%Slider 2%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.