PITCHER MATCHUP
Eduardo Rodriguez vs San Diego Padres
How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Eduardo Rodriguez's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Cutter 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 8%Slider 2%
How the San Diego Padres's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MM Manny Machado RHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TF Ty France RHB .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .283
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-04 game page →