PITCHER MATCHUP

Eduardo Rodriguez vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eduardo Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Cutter 15%Curveball 9%Sinker 8%Slider 2%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.