PITCHER MATCHUP

Eduardo Rodriguez vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eduardo Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .348vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Cutter 15%Curveball 9%Sinker 8%Slider 2%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 AB Alex Bregman RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 596 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-26 game page →