PITCHER MATCHUP
Eduardo Rodriguez vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Eduardo Rodriguez's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Cutter 15%Curveball 9%Sinker 8%Slider 2%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .281
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AR Austin Riley RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JJ Jim Jarvis LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jim Jarvis
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 SM Sean Murphy RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sean Murphy
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.