PITCHER MATCHUP

Eduardo Rodriguez vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eduardo Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Cutter 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 8%Slider 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-06 game page →