PITCHER MATCHUP

Eduardo Rivera vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rivera's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eduardo Rivera's arsenal

Throws LHPSeasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 61%Slider 25%Changeup 14%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rivera, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .265
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NF Nick Fortes RHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.