PITCHER MATCHUP

Eduardo Rivera vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rivera's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eduardo Rivera's arsenal

Throws LHPSeasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 30%Changeup 14%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rivera, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .376
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.