PITCHER MATCHUP

Eduardo Rivera vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rivera's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eduardo Rivera's arsenal

Throws LHPSeasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 61%Slider 25%Changeup 14%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rivera, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CC Colton Cowser LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.