PITCHER MATCHUP

Eduardo Rivera vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Eduardo Rivera's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Eduardo Rivera's arsenal

Throws LHPSeasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 56%Slider 30%Changeup 14%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Eduardo Rivera, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .377
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.