PITCHER MATCHUP

Edgardo Henriquez vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Edgardo Henriquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Edgardo Henriquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .221Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Sinker 27%Slider 22%Cutter 14%Curveball 6%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Edgardo Henriquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →