PITCHER MATCHUP
Edgardo Henriquez vs Boston Red Sox
How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Edgardo Henriquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Edgardo Henriquez's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .227Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sinker 26%Slider 21%Cutter 15%Curveball 4%
How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Edgardo Henriquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .360
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.