PITCHER MATCHUP

Dylan Cease vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dylan Cease's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dylan Cease's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 36%Knuckle Curve 9%Changeup 6%Sinker 6%Sweeper 4%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dylan Cease, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .374
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .468 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.