PITCHER MATCHUP

Dylan Cease vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dylan Cease's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dylan Cease's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 36%Knuckle Curve 9%Changeup 6%Sinker 6%Sweeper 4%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dylan Cease, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC José Caballero RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.