PITCHER MATCHUP

Dylan Cease vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dylan Cease's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dylan Cease's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 36%Knuckle Curve 9%Changeup 6%Sinker 6%Sweeper 4%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dylan Cease, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →