PITCHER MATCHUP

Dylan Cease vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dylan Cease's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dylan Cease's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 36%Knuckle Curve 9%Changeup 6%Sinker 6%Sweeper 4%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dylan Cease, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JJ Josh Jung RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JF Justin Foscue RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Foscue
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.