PITCHER MATCHUP

Dylan Cease vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dylan Cease's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dylan Cease's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .266Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 36%Knuckle Curve 9%Sinker 6%Changeup 5%Sweeper 4%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dylan Cease, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.