PITCHER MATCHUP

Dylan Cease vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dylan Cease's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dylan Cease's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 36%Knuckle Curve 9%Changeup 6%Sinker 6%Sweeper 4%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dylan Cease, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 657 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JJ Josh Jung RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Joc Pederson LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CS Corey Seager LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.