PITCHER MATCHUP

Dylan Cease vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dylan Cease's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dylan Cease's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .296vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 38%Knuckle Curve 9%Sinker 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 4%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dylan Cease, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JJ Josh Jung RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (38% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB Jake Burger RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (38% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (38% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JP Joc Pederson LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (38% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KH Kyle Higashioka RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Higashioka
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (38% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (38% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JF Justin Foscue RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Foscue
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-27 game page →