PITCHER MATCHUP

Dylan Cease vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dylan Cease's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dylan Cease's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 36%Knuckle Curve 9%Changeup 6%Sinker 6%Sweeper 4%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dylan Cease, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 683 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.