PITCHER MATCHUP

Dylan Cease vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dylan Cease's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dylan Cease's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 37%Knuckle Curve 9%Sinker 5%Changeup 5%Sweeper 4%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dylan Cease, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 630 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EH Eric Haase RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eric Haase
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (37% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →