PITCHER MATCHUP

Dylan Cease vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dylan Cease's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dylan Cease's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 36%Knuckle Curve 9%Changeup 6%Sinker 6%Sweeper 4%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dylan Cease, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CK Christian Koss RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 VB Victor Bericoto RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Bericoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 OB Osleivis Basabe RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Osleivis Basabe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.