PITCHER MATCHUP

Dustin May vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dustin May's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 27%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 17%Curveball 4%Changeup 4%Unknown 2%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.