PITCHER MATCHUP

Dustin May vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dustin May's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 26%Sinker 26%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 18%Curveball 5%Changeup 4%Unknown 2%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.