PITCHER MATCHUP

Dustin May vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dustin May's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 26%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 18%Curveball 5%Changeup 4%Unknown 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.