PITCHER MATCHUP

Dustin May vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dustin May's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .335vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 28%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 17%Changeup 4%Curveball 4%Unknown 2%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 630 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-30 game page →