PITCHER MATCHUP

Dustin May vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dustin May's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .335vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 28%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 17%Changeup 4%Curveball 4%Unknown 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 586 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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