PITCHER MATCHUP

Dustin May vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dustin May's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 29%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 16%Changeup 4%Curveball 3%Unknown 2%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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