PITCHER MATCHUP

Dustin May vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dustin May's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 28%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 17%Changeup 4%Curveball 4%Unknown 2%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 622 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 571 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.