PITCHER MATCHUP
Dustin May vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Dustin May's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 26%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 18%Curveball 5%Changeup 4%Unknown 2%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .326
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .357
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .352
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.