PITCHER MATCHUP

Dustin May vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dustin May's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 26%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 17%Curveball 5%Changeup 4%Unknown 2%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 586 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.