PITCHER MATCHUP

Dustin May vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dustin May's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 28%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 16%Changeup 4%Curveball 4%Unknown 2%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.