PITCHER MATCHUP

Dustin May vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dustin May's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 30%Sinker 26%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Cutter 15%Changeup 4%Curveball 3%Unknown 2%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SF Sal Frelick LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jackson Chourio RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CY Christian Yelich LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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