PITCHER MATCHUP

Dustin May vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dustin May's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 27%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 17%Curveball 4%Changeup 4%Unknown 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 673 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.