PITCHER MATCHUP

Dustin May vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dustin May's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dustin May's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 28%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 16%Changeup 4%Curveball 4%Unknown 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dustin May, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 625 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.