PITCHER MATCHUP

Drew Anderson vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Drew Anderson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Drew Anderson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .251vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 31%Curveball 22%Slider 5%Sinker 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Drew Anderson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 585 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-05 game page →