PITCHER MATCHUP

Dean Kremer vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dean Kremer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dean Kremer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Splitter 22%Cutter 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 13%Unknown 2%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dean Kremer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-28 game page →