PITCHER MATCHUP

Dean Kremer vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dean Kremer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dean Kremer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Splitter 22%Cutter 20%Sinker 17%Curveball 12%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dean Kremer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.