PITCHER MATCHUP

Dean Kremer vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dean Kremer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dean Kremer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Splitter 22%Cutter 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 13%Unknown 2%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dean Kremer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 590 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-22 game page →