PITCHER MATCHUP

Dean Kremer vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dean Kremer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dean Kremer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Splitter 22%Cutter 19%Sinker 17%Curveball 13%Unknown 1%Slider 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dean Kremer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CW Connor Wong RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TS Trevor Story RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.