PITCHER MATCHUP

Dean Kremer vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dean Kremer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dean Kremer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Splitter 22%Cutter 20%Sinker 17%Curveball 12%Unknown 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dean Kremer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.