PITCHER MATCHUP

Dean Kremer vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dean Kremer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dean Kremer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Splitter 22%Cutter 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 13%Unknown 1%Slider 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dean Kremer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-22 game page →