PITCHER MATCHUP

Dean Kremer vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dean Kremer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dean Kremer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Splitter 22%Cutter 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 12%Unknown 2%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dean Kremer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →