PITCHER MATCHUP

Dean Kremer vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dean Kremer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dean Kremer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Splitter 22%Cutter 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 13%Unknown 1%Slider 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dean Kremer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 567 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.