PITCHER MATCHUP

Dean Kremer vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dean Kremer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dean Kremer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Splitter 22%Cutter 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 13%Unknown 1%Slider 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dean Kremer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .396
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.