PITCHER MATCHUP

Dean Kremer vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dean Kremer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dean Kremer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Splitter 22%Cutter 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 13%Unknown 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dean Kremer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .387
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brice Matthews RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-17 game page →