PITCHER MATCHUP

Dean Kremer vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Dean Kremer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Dean Kremer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Splitter 22%Cutter 20%Sinker 17%Curveball 12%Unknown 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Dean Kremer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .389
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.