PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Slider 16%Sinker 14%Curveball 10%Cutter 8%Sweeper 3%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.