PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .351vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Changeup 20%Slider 18%Sinker 13%Curveball 8%Cutter 7%Sweeper 4%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 RG Riley Greene LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 WP Wenceel Pérez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wenceel Pérez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-21 game page →