PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Slider 17%Sinker 14%Curveball 9%Cutter 8%Sweeper 4%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO James Outman LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Outman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.