PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .355vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Slider 17%Sinker 14%Curveball 10%Cutter 8%Sweeper 3%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.