PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Changeup 20%Slider 18%Sinker 13%Curveball 8%Cutter 7%Sweeper 4%Unknown 1%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SP Salvador Perez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Starling Marte RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-27 game page →