PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .359vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Slider 17%Sinker 14%Curveball 9%Cutter 8%Sweeper 4%Unknown 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-13 game page →