PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Slider 17%Sinker 14%Curveball 10%Cutter 8%Sweeper 3%Unknown 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 619 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.