PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Changeup 19%Slider 17%Sinker 14%Curveball 9%Cutter 8%Sweeper 4%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 613 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.