PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Slider 18%Sinker 13%Curveball 9%Cutter 7%Sweeper 4%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →