PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Slider 17%Sinker 14%Curveball 9%Cutter 8%Sweeper 3%Unknown 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-09 game page →