PITCHER MATCHUP
Davis Martin vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Davis Martin's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .355vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Slider 17%Sinker 14%Curveball 10%Cutter 8%Sweeper 3%Unknown 1%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 662 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.