PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Changeup 19%Slider 17%Sinker 14%Curveball 9%Cutter 8%Sweeper 4%Unknown 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.