PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .352vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Slider 18%Sinker 13%Curveball 9%Cutter 7%Sweeper 4%Unknown 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →