PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 19%Slider 18%Sinker 13%Curveball 9%Cutter 8%Sweeper 4%Unknown 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .406
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-24 game page →