PITCHER MATCHUP

Davis Martin vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Davis Martin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Davis Martin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Changeup 18%Slider 17%Sinker 14%Curveball 9%Cutter 8%Sweeper 3%Unknown 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Davis Martin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .402
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.