PITCHER MATCHUP
David Sandlin vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against David Sandlin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
David Sandlin's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .236Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 24%Cutter 18%Sinker 10%Sweeper 8%Changeup 7%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against David Sandlin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .326
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 RG Riley Greene LHB .362
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (24% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JB Javier Báez SH .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-18 game page →