PITCHER MATCHUP

Corbin Burnes vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Corbin Burnes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Corbin Burnes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 50%Curveball 21%Slider 10%Changeup 9%Sinker 9%Sweeper 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Corbin Burnes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.