PITCHER MATCHUP

Corbin Burnes vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Corbin Burnes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Corbin Burnes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 50%Curveball 21%Slider 10%Changeup 9%Sinker 9%Sweeper 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Corbin Burnes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .384
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Cutter (50% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .453 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.