PITCHER MATCHUP

Connor Prielipp vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connor Prielipp's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .335vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026
Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 17%Sinker 14%Changeup 11%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-01 game page →