PITCHER MATCHUP

Connor Prielipp vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connor Prielipp's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026
Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 17%Sinker 14%Changeup 10%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.