PITCHER MATCHUP

Connor Prielipp vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connor Prielipp's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026
Slider 30%Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 17%Changeup 12%Sinker 12%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.