PITCHER MATCHUP

Connor Prielipp vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connor Prielipp's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 30%Curveball 17%Changeup 13%Sinker 10%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-28 game page →