PITCHER MATCHUP

Connor Prielipp vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connor Prielipp's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026
Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 26%Curveball 18%Sinker 15%Changeup 10%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 620 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.