PITCHER MATCHUP

Connor Prielipp vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connor Prielipp's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026
Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 26%Curveball 18%Sinker 15%Changeup 10%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.