PITCHER MATCHUP

Connor Prielipp vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connor Prielipp's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .348vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026
Slider 30%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Curveball 17%Sinker 13%Changeup 11%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BH Bryce Harper LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-15 game page →