PITCHER MATCHUP

Connor Prielipp vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connor Prielipp's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026
Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 17%Sinker 14%Changeup 10%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 577 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 630 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.