PITCHER MATCHUP
Connor Prielipp vs Los Angeles Dodgers
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connor Prielipp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Connor Prielipp's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026
Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 26%Curveball 18%Sinker 15%Changeup 10%
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connor Prielipp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .324
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 AP Andy Pages RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MM Max Muncy LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TE Tommy Edman SH .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 WS Will Smith RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 AF Alex Freeland SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.